IT IS hardly a great secret that Thurrock UKIP have their eyes on further gains in the local elections of May 2016.
They have 11 councillors (out of 49) at present and think they can gain a few more.
They are certainly more than capable of gaining Aveley, Belhus, East Tilbury. Ockendon and Stanford East and Corringham Town.
If the Conservatives hold Orsett, Chafford/North Stifford, Corringham and Fobbing, Little Thurrock Blackshots, South Chafford, The Homesteads and gain Stanford West.
Labour should hold Grays Riverside, Grays Thurrock and West Thurrock and South Stifford.
There is a question mark over Chadwell St Mary and Tilbury St Chads but incumbents Gerard Rice and Lyn Worrall should hold.
But our calculations (CSE Grade 2 Maths 1978), that would make it Conservatives on 17, UKIP on 16 and Labour on 15 plus on independent.
We have been wrong before (do we not mean all the time?-Ed).